
As printed in the OC Register / Saddleback Valley News
Written by Jim E. Flynn, Century 21 Beachside Realtors, Lake Mission
Viejo
July 30, 2010
Positive Recovery Trends For Real Estate in Orange County
Q. We are well into the Summer now Jim and Laura and I would like to get your view
about the Real Estate Recovery in South Orange County.
- Thanks George
A. I do have some positive words about what I see as the gradual Real Estate Recovery
here in South Orange County. First, as you may have seen the recent Orange County
Register article advising that Homes sales and prices are still rising, written by J.
Lansner, Sat, July 24. “For the 22 business days ending July 8-MDSA Data Quick’s
latest home buying report saw a $447,500 median selling price that is 6.5 percent higher vs.
a year ago and has recouped 28 percent of the $275k price drop from the June 2007 peak".
Even though that price is still 30.6 percent below the peak of $645,000 the significant
trend is that the numbers are up 6.5% and 21 percent above the cyclical low hit in January
2009 which was $370.000. So the median has recouped 28% from the peak in June 2007 and
I do consider that as a very positive trend. Lansner also indicates that from 1990
through that year the average house/condo gap was 58 percent. In this most recent period,
Orange County shoppers bought 9% higher vs. last years buying activity.
My Real Estate broker partner Mike and I currently are working with five qualified buyers
who are looking for very specialized properties and understand that when they become
available they need to decide and act very quickly. Reduced price properties below the
market level remain the ones that sell very quickly. I am encouraged that some
sellers, especially those with solid equity realize that below market pricing attracts more
buyers early in the listing period rather than waiting to lower their prices and chase the
market as sellers who have been on the market longer begin to lower their prices. Another
encouraging trend seems to be that buyers and their broker/agents are more knowledgeable
about prices in the communities where they have interest. They are watching the prices
and expect prices to be lowered if the property is listed on the market for several weeks
and is not yet in escrow. Because many Sellers are now recognizing this trend those
that want to move their properties more quickly and eliminate the time lag and frustration
of lowering their prices later, are pricing to sell and attractive offers more quickly.
Another encouraging trend example I have, is the good results we had recently with a
young couple soon to be married that we successfully got into escrow on a property that was
way overdue to close escrow. The seller had moved out of state and shut off the water.
Our suggestion to them was to invest in the property that they were hoping to get and just
sign up and pay the water bill. This was no more than a $50 per month investment to
protect perhaps $20,000 worth of landscaping that was being slowly fried by the summer sun.
They listened, acted, closed and became owners without having to replace dead landscaping.
So, George and Laura there are some very positive trends for the Real Estate Market
recover here in so. County Orange
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